S&P 500 har precis brutit ner under sitt 200-dagars glidande medelvärde (MA-200), en klassisk säljsignal som får många investerare att höja på ögonbrynen. Historiskt har detta setts som ett varningstecken för svagare börsutveckling. Men hur pålitlig är egentligen denna signal?...
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Many investors look for patterns that can help them understand the movements of the stock market. One of the more talked about phenomena is seasonal cycles – recurring patterns that have historically been shown to influence the market. But just like with any other factor, there are...
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Bear markets, where the stock market falls by more than 20%, are an inevitable part of the investment cycle. They will always happen, making them predictable in the long run. However, timing them is notoriously difficult. Attempts at timing are...
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Lecture at Financial Stockholm by co-founder Erik Martin Hansén about thoughts and ideas about strategies and how we can use methods to capture winning stocks. Contents: Common thinking errors The reason to avoid subjective technical analysis How much the stock market usually falls...
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Investors have long been fascinated by the idea of predicting which companies will deliver strong future earnings. It makes sense: if you can predict future earnings, it should be easy to beat the market. But what if I told you that...
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Factor Ratings: Earnings, Quality, Valuation, Risk and Trend We recently launched a new tab on the company analysis page where we rate different factors. We have an aggregated rating for fundamentals, based on earnings, quality, valuation and risk, which we can put into context ourselves...
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In the fall of 2023, we received several buy signals in broad indicators and sentiment data while facing a seasonally stronger period in Q4. Now we have once again received a buy signal in an indicator that I usually keep an extra eye on....
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During reporting periods, I always worry about price reactions. How the market receives a report gives an indication of future price development. A stock that rises on a bad report is a signal that the stock is demand-driven. Investors tend to underreact to positive...
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This is a clip from the analysis product Marknadspulsen which we publish on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays in our analysis platform. Erik Hansén goes through the following: How we can use the signals Rapid price movement gives an indication of psychology Volume is more than a technical...
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Erik Hansén walks through a conceptual framework for earnings growth. The earnings clock can be used to find growth stocks early enough, but not stay at the growth party too long. We focus on the change in data. Not whether growth is good or bad but...