Historical performance does not guarantee future results. Our strategies are for inspiration – not personal advice.

Investment strategies: Stability and growth through diversification

By diversifying across markets and asset classes, we reduce reliance on the Stockholm Stock Exchange and access broader global trends. Our goal is to build capital in a stable and strategic way over the long term – without having to ride the emotional roller coaster of the stock market. Imagine a portfolio designed to maintain resilience through different market cycles—providing stability in both rising and falling markets. With global exposure to different asset classes, we build a foundation that protects your savings and creates opportunities for good returns. We offer a range of strategies, from conservative to aggressive, so you can select an approach aligned with your financial goals and risk tolerance. A balanced approach—such as a 50/50 mix of passive and active strategies—can provide both stability and growth potential, depending on your investment horizon and objectives.

Investment strategies
Name Universe Rebalancing Number of holdings Description
Box Play ETFs/funds Semi-annually 7 Passive all-weather portfolio with fixed allocation
Power Play ETFs/funds Semi-annually 9 Passive all-weather portfolio with fixed allocation
Dynamic Sector Allocation Sector ETFs  Month 4 Active allocation with momentum
Global Trend ETFs Month 3 Active allocation with momentum
Global Momentum ETFs Month 5 Active allocation with momentum
Tactical Diversification ETFs/funds Month 9 Active allocation with AI

*Power Play has a smaller portion of capital allocated to bitcoin and soft commodities. Bitcoin was added to the backtest in 2021.

Backtest: Jan 2, 2017 to Jan 31, 2024
 Name Start year CAGR Sharpe Volatility Max decline Beta
Box Play 2017 8.1% 1.04 7.1% -16.3% 0.35
Power Play 2017 11.1% 1.22 8.4% -17.1% 0.28
Dynamic Sector Allocation 2004 15.4% 0.87 17.4% -29.1% 0.85
Global Trend 2017 14.5% 1.11 12.6% -21.1% 0.20
Global Momentum 2017 9.2% 1.22 7.1% -6.1% 0.19
Tactical Diversification* 2021 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

*Tactical Diversification is a strategy based on an AI model. Instead of backtesting, the AI ​​model is trained on historical data and then “played live” on unseen data. Follow the development of Tactical Diversification and all strategies in the Weekly Report published on the blog.

Systematic stock strategies for long-term success

Our equity strategies systematically leverage well-researched factors such as momentum, value, and quality—principles that have historically delivered strong, risk-adjusted returns. By applying a structured, rules-based approach using concepts and methods that have stood the test of time, we position ourselves for long-term success in varying market conditions.

One of the greatest values ​​of systematic strategies is that they help us avoid irrational decisions – something that is often a common weakness in discretionary trading. By using well-structured data-driven models and strategies, we can make rational decisions based on data and objective analysis rather than emotions or behavioral biases.

Factor-based stock strategies
Name Short name Universe* Portfolio weights Rebalancing Description
Value & Momentum VMM Sweden Volatility-adjusted Month Factor-based equity strategy (long-only)
Volatility & Quality KMM Sweden Likaviktat Month Factor-based equity strategy (long-only)
Top Picks Momentum TPM Sweden Volatility-adjusted Month Factor-based equity strategy (long-only)

*The strategies trade companies on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, but a smaller proportion of the capital allows holdings from Denmark, Norway and Finland.

Development: Jan 2, 2024 to Jan 31, 2025*
 Name With. Sharpe Volatility Max decline Beta Correspondence with OMX Tracking error
Value & Momentum 40.9% 2.59 12.2%  -8.1% 0.63 0.74 9.8%
Volatility & Quality 32.3% 2.07 11.7%  -7.3% 0.52 0.68 11.3%
Top Picks Momentum 24.7% 1.51 11.8% – 10.2% 0.56 0.69 10.2%
MSCI Sweden 17.0% 0.77 14.4%  -9.2% 1.00 1.00 0.0%

*The development is indicative only and depends on execution, slippage and brokerage.

Short-term trading strategies for active trading

In 2025, we will introduce multiple systematic trading strategies tailored for active traders and short-term investors. The shorter the time horizon, the more important the mental aspect and our discipline become. It is not enough to have strategies with positive expected returns, we must also trade consistently and stick to our rules, regardless of market fluctuations.

Volatility can easily affect our judgment, but with systematic trading strategies and clear rules, we get a structure that helps us navigate even in stressful situations. However, short-term trading remains challenging, and success requires both hard work, discipline and psychological resilience to succeed.

Signals and updates for these strategies will be available in the Market Pulse and in the Weekly Report.

Trading strategies
Name Type Universe Description
TTREFT Daily ETFs Mean reversion (long-only)
GOLDTW Weekly GLD Tactical strategy on the gold
MROMXD Daily Shares Mean reversion (long-only)
DMRMO Daily ETFs Dynamic switching between mean reversion and momentum.
WEDGE Daily ETFs Exploits recurring patterns linked to days of the week.
PMXW Weekly Shares Buy stocks with momentum and sell losers
Backtest
Name Start year Number of trades CAGR Time in the market Win Ratio MaxDD Sharpe Volatility
TTREFT 2003 499 7.5% 25.3% 72.7% -22.5% 0,65 11.8%
GOLDTW 2007 42 9.2% 50.8% 61.9% -19.5% 0.68 13,5% 
MROMXD 2017 2523 16.2% 75.3% 67.5% -27.4% 1.06 15.3%
DMRMO 2003 1221 7.3% 94.8% 55.2% -15.0% 0.87 8.4%
WEDGE 2005 2451 7.9% 29.1% 55.1% -13.1% 0.89 8.9%
PMXW 2006 1236 14.4% 100% 46.3% -38.4% 0.89 17.8%

RISK WARNING

Investing in financial markets always involves risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and there is a possibility that you may lose all or part of your invested capital. Our analyses and indicators are based on historical data and statistical models, but these models cannot predict future market movements with complete certainty.

The value of investments may fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, company-specific factors and global economic events. It is important that you carefully consider your financial situation and your ability to bear potential losses before investing. The Service does not provide personal investment advice and recommends that you seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

NeuroQuant employees may own or trade securities mentioned in analyses or based on indicators used in our services. This may potentially create conflicts of interest, but we strive for full transparency and professional integrity in all our activities. Following our analyses and indicators involves increased risk if the market moves in an unpredictable manner. You should only invest money that you are prepared to lose and understand that past performance, analyses or models provided through the service do not guarantee future results.

Frequently asked questions

Systematic trading is based on predefined rules for how we should act, which reduces the risk of emotional decisions affecting trading. The rules can be tested to give us an idea of ​​how they have performed under different market conditions. By acting systematically, we follow data instead of our intuition or gut feeling.

One advantage of trading systematically is that we can follow strategies consistently without deviations and thus generate more consistent results over time. We strive to be objective and methodical instead of irrational players like many others in the market. A complete market player knows that discretionary decisions are sometimes required, but has managed to eliminate emotions from the decision-making process.

Quantitative strategies are a type of systematic strategy that specifically uses quantitative methods to make investment decisions. These methods include statistical models, mathematical algorithms, and data-driven analysis.

No, you don't need to. The important thing is that you have time to manage your portfolios, even during weaker periods when it's more tedious to log into your account. The best strategy is the one we can maintain over time.

We understand that there may be curiosity about the exact calculations and rules behind our signals and strategies. However, to protect our work and prevent the strategies from being spread further, we do not always share all the details of our rules. Instead, we focus on providing clear signals and allocations that make it easy to follow our strategies, without having to delve into all the technical details. Our goal is to make it as practical and valuable as possible for our clients.

The number of stocks in the portfolios varies between about 20 and 30 holdings. We use a method where the number of stocks is just right to achieve the effects of diversification. If we have fewer than 20 companies, the company risk starts to increase for individual holdings. High company risk is something we want to avoid because we are agnostic and do not "bet" on individual companies.

We use volatility-adjusted portfolio weights because we want all holdings to have an equal theoretical chance of affecting the portfolio. A stock that fluctuates little has a higher weight compared to a stock that has high volatility, i.e. fluctuates a lot. This method usually results in a higher risk-adjusted return.

Diversification is a cornerstone of our strategies. By spreading risk, we not only gain security but also a chance at the big winners – so-called outliers. This is especially important because a large part of the stock market's upswings is often driven by a few stocks. If you have too few stocks in your portfolio, you run a high risk of missing out on these winners.

The holdings are only available within our analysis platform. As a premium customer you have access to all our strategies along with other tools and analysis products.

An all-weather portfolio is a diversified portfolio designed to perform well in different economic climates, whether growth, recession, inflation or deflation. It balances assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities and gold to reduce risk and provide stable returns over time.

The lower risk of an all-weather portfolio compared to a pure equity portfolio makes it better suited to leverage. A leveraged all-weather portfolio can provide a similar level of risk as a portfolio with high equity exposure, but with better diversification. If the portfolio's assets provide stable returns over time, leverage can increase capital and returns, provided that the cost of borrowing is lower than the expected return. However, no strategy is immune to market stress. A low leverage ratio, careful monitoring and clear risk management are therefore crucial for success.

In the long run, 100% stocks have greater potential to outperform an “all-weather portfolio.” But the journey to the goal is at least as important as the goal itself. By taking volatility into account, a diversified base portfolio offers a better risk-adjusted return. With diversification, we optimize for survival rather than maximum return. The goal is to create the best conditions for being able to be long-term. A well-balanced portfolio makes the journey less emotional and reduces the risk of selling at the wrong time. It’s about avoiding the dangerous decisions that are often made under pressure – and thereby maximizing the opportunity to achieve success over time.