Categories Blog, Strategies

Update: Value & Momentum

Update: Value & Momentum

Value & Momentum is a strategy that aims to identify companies with good fundamentals and positive market behavior. Portfolio weights are adjusted for volatility and changes are made once a month. With patience, discipline and systematic position management, we have good conditions to outperform over time. 

Our factor-based equity strategies are included in the premium package. On the page model portfolios The holdings and portfolio weights are reported. Click here to read more about our strategies on the website.

Information

  • Direction: Long only (no short positions)
  • Strategic direction: Attractive valuations (value) and strong price momentum (momentum).
  • Investment universe: Primarily Swedish stocks. The selection may also include Nordic companies.
  • Portfolio weights: Volatility-adjusted (all holdings are allowed to participate and contribute equally)
  • Rebalancing frequency: Monthly

Development

Since the start of 2023, the Value & Momentum portfolio has risen by 61.8%, compared to the Stockholm Stock Exchange (XACT Sweden) which has increased by 26.8%. The Sharpe ratio has been 2.3 compared to the stock market's 0.6, and the portfolio's beta and correlation have been 0.47 and 0.67, respectively.

Using momentum, the strategy has avoided so-called “value traps” – low-value stocks that continue to fall. These types of holdings can be mentally difficult to let go of if you invest discretionarily without a systematic approach.

So far in 2025, the Value & Momentum portfolio has risen 7.9%, supported by the recovery in risk sentiment over the past month. The performance has been slightly better than the Stockholm Stock Exchange and significantly better than the Nordic index weighted by Novo Nordisk.

The largest positive contributors in 2025 have been B2 Impact, Betsson and Clas Ohlson, while Enea, Boliden and Lucara Diamond have weighed the portfolio the most negatively.

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
2023         -0.7 4.7 3.3 -1.7 0.5 1.1 -0.5 3.6 10.5
2024 4.2 4.4 6.7 3.1 6.0 -2.0 3.4 -0.4 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.6 35.7
2025 3.8 4.0 -5.2 0.3 5.0               7.9

The development is only indicative and depends on execution, slippage and brokerage. 

Holdings and portfolio weights


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ℹ️ FACTOR-BASED STRATEGIES AND VALUE & MOMENTUM

A factor-based equity strategy systematically invests in stocks that exhibit certain characteristics – called factors – that have historically been associated with outperformance. Common examples include value, momentum, quality and low volatility.

The strategies are based on objective rules and data-driven analysis, not subjective judgments or gut feelings. This makes decision-making more consistent and less sensitive to market fluctuations. The portfolios are rebalanced regularly, often monthly, to adhere to the factors on which the strategy is based.

It is important to understand that factor strategies still invest in stocks and therefore have a high correlation with the stock market. They can therefore be expected to decline in value during broad market declines. Another risk is that factors can underperform for longer periods, which requires patience and discipline from the investor. The biggest risk is often not the model itself, but rather abandoning the strategy when things go wrong.

The Value & Momentum strategy combines two well-documented factors: low valuation and strong price momentum. The aim is to find stocks that are both fundamentally attractive and show a positive trend. The combination makes it possible to avoid so-called value traps – stocks that look cheap but continue to lose value.

Unlike a pure momentum strategy, which focuses solely on price gains and is often driven by a few big winners, Value & Momentum tends to provide a more even distribution of gains and losses. It reduces the reliance on individual extreme movements. At the same time, the strategy may miss some highly valued growth stocks with strong momentum that do not pass the value filter. Pure momentum often works best in strong bull markets with clear trends, while the combination of value and momentum tends to be more robust over time and in different market environments.

⚠️ RISK WARNING

Investing in financial markets always involves risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and there is a possibility that you may lose all or part of your invested capital. Our analyses and indicators are based on historical data and statistical models, but these models cannot predict future market movements with complete certainty.

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