Categories Blog, Market comments

Weekly report: A red week across the board

Weekly report: A red week across the board

The weekly report gives you a short and concise summary without getting bogged down in unnecessary noise – all to keep you informed and well-prepared. You also get an overview of the progress of our systematic strategies.

In this edition:

  1. Stock market outlook 3–6 months ahead
  2. Investment strategies (multi assets)
  3. Stock Strategies (Top Picks, Value & Momentum, Volatility & Quality)

Click here to read more about our strategies.


1. Stock market outlook 3–6 months ahead

In the medium term, we use a trend model to try to stay on the right side of the underlying trend. The trend score is not intended to pinpoint peaks or troughs, but to help us participate in uptrends and limit larger declines. In addition to the trend score, we consider other factors that can affect the primary trend, such as macroeconomic conditions, market positioning and sentiment, and seasonal patterns.

A stock market falling 5% in 10 trading days (two weeks) is not unusual behavior, but is something that happens often, in both positive and negative trends. The stock market has a long-term upward trend, but it does not rise linearly. The sharp short-term declines are a natural part of the market dynamics and the risk we as investors take. It is this risk, dealing with volatility and temporary declines, that is rewarded with higher returns over time. Understanding and accepting this is the key to success in the stock market.

OMXS30 and 10-Day ROC, since 1987

Even declines of 3% or more over a five-day period are something we should expect, as they happen quite often. It is unrealistic to think that we can avoid them all.

OMXS30 and 5-Day ROC, last 10 years


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Investing in financial markets always involves risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and there is a possibility that you may lose all or part of your invested capital. Our analyses and indicators are based on historical data and statistical models, but these models cannot predict future market movements with complete certainty.

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